ASB Forecast OCR Cuts Nearing an End

ASB now believes just one more cut will bring the OCR to its floor of 3.00 per cent, marking the end of the current easing cycle. Since August last year, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has reduced the OCR from a peak of 5.5 per cent to its…

NZ House Prices to Be 20 per cent Lower by 2030s

Prices in the mid-2030s are expected to be around 20 per cent lower than their 2021 peak when adjusted for inflation. This outlook, provided by economic consultancy Infometrics, suggests a slow recovery from the market highs reached during the pandemic housing boom. While nominal house prices are tipped to edge…

Sharp Rise in Power Prices Hits Kiwi Households

The increase, which comes courtesy of the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment, follows a combination of regulatory changes and broader pressures on the energy market. The April review of electricity pricing marked a significant turning point. Companies were permitted to raise their charges, which added an estimated $10 to…

Trump’s Tariffs a Greater Concern Than Covid

With global trade teetering on uncertainty, Kiwi exporters are bracing for impact. However, some businesses see opportunity in the disruption. According to research commissioned by ASB Bank, two-thirds of New Zealand business leaders believe US-imposed tariffs will cause greater global disruption than recent historic economic crises. The sentiment is even…

Calls Grow for Reserve Bank to Cut Rates By 50pts

The stakes are high for many businesses, and there is growing pressure for the Bank to act decisively. Calls are intensifying for a substantial 50 basis point cut rather than another cautious move. At the heart of this push lies frustration among business leaders who argue that monetary easing should…

Markets Steady as US Policy Uncertainty Lingers

This rebound follows stronger-than-expected economic data and a partial retreat in US-China trade tensions. In the United States, manufacturing and services data for May have both surpassed expectations. The composite purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 52.1 from 50.6 in April, pointing to a continued expansion in economic activity. These…

April Sees Rising Costs in Food Across New Zealand

Food prices rose significantly while energy costs and airfares also surged. These figures indicate growing inflationary pressure across several key sectors. Food prices jumped by 0.8 per cent in April alone, pushing the annual food inflation rate to 3.7 per cent. This surge was largely driven by increases in the…

Kiwis Return to One- and Two-Year Fixed Mortgages

According to the RBNZ’s latest monthly figures, nearly 60 per cent of new mortgages in March were fixed for one or two years. Specifically, $1.723 billion of the $5.725 billion in new lending was fixed for one year (30.1 per cent). $1.644 billion (28.7 per cent) was fixed for two…

New Zealand Housing Market Forecast Slows

House values are still expected to increase in the second half of the year, but the bank now anticipates a more modest annual rise of 4.5 per cent, down from its previous estimate of 6 per cent. The adjustment follows an analysis of recent housing market trends, which suggest a…

Audit Shield claims activity in New Zealand: Trends and insights.

1 April 2024 – 31 March 2025   Inland Revenue (IR) in New Zealand has significantly intensified tax compliance efforts over the past year. According to a report published in April 2025, automated screening systems analysed over three million tax returns in New Zealand, leading to 30,000 reviews. Combined with…